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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2024-11-14 03:34:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 140234 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 7(17) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 9(21) 9(30) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 6(22) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) GUANAJA 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 19(37) 15(52) 7(59) 2(61) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 4(21) 3(24) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) MANAGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) S SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) TEGUCIGALPA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen Forecast Advisory Number 2
2024-11-14 03:33:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 612 WTNT24 KNHC 140233 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 80.2W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 80.2W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.1N 82.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 83.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 84.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 85.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 85.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.9N 85.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.6N 86.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 80.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-14 00:54:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
257 ABNT20 KNHC 132341 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen, located over the central Caribbean Sea. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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