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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-06-18 10:47:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 394 WTNT21 KNHC 180847 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012024 0900 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 93.0W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 93.0W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 93.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 93.1W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.7N 94.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.2N 96.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N 98.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 93.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Graphics
2024-06-18 07:38:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 18 Jun 2024 05:38:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 18 Jun 2024 03:22:49 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-18 07:32:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
674 ABNT20 KNHC 180532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: An area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United States on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics