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Remnants of Joyce Graphics
2024-10-01 04:32:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Remnants of Joyce Forecast Discussion Number 15
2024-10-01 04:32:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 083 WTNT41 KNHC 010231 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Joyce Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 Recent CIRA ProxyVis GOES imagery, and an ASCAT-C overpass around 00Z indicate that Joyce no longer has a well-defined center. Therefore, Joyce is no longer a tropical cyclone and this is the last NHC advisory. The ASCAT data indicated that winds of 25-30 kt are still occuring near the remaining convection associated with the remnants of Joyce. Joyce's remnants are expected to merge with a mid-latitude system and accelerate northeastward during the next couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 23.0N 49.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Joyce Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2024-10-01 04:31:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 164 FONT11 KNHC 010231 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF JOYCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF JOYCE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
Category: Transportation and Logistics