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Remnants of Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2024-10-20 16:48:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 801 FONT15 KNHC 201440 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF NADINE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Remnants of Nadine Forecast Discussion Number 8
2024-10-20 16:42:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024 011 WTNT45 KNHC 201442 TCDAT5 Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024 First-light GOES-16 imagery and station observations suggest that the surface circulation associated with Nadine has dissipated over southern Mexico. Peak sustained winds remain 25 kt, mainly over the Bay of Campeche. The remnants of Nadine are moving toward the west-southwest at around 12 kt and they are expected to move into the eastern Pacific later today. The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the early to middle part of this week while the system moves westward at about 15 kt away from the coast of Mexico. For additional information on the remnants of Nadine as it enters the eastern Pacific please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php, and the latest updates in the East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook on the web at hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac. Key Messages: 1. Localized areas of flash flooding will remain possible in the vicinity of the remnants of Nadine across Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexico through Tuesday morning. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 16.5N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 8
2024-10-20 16:39:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 201439 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 92.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 93.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
Category: Transportation and Logistics