Home Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen (AT4/AL192024)
 

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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen (AT4/AL192024)

2024-11-13 21:48:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA... As of 4:00 PM EST Wed Nov 13 the center of Nineteen was located near 16.2, -79.0 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.


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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen Forecast Advisory Number 1

2024-11-13 21:48:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED NOV 13 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 132047 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 2100 UTC WED NOV 13 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 79.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 79.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 80.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 83.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.4N 84.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.4N 84.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.3N 84.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 84.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.3N 85.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 79.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-13 18:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and the Cayman Islands during the next day or so. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Kelly


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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