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Tropical Depression Beryl Graphics
2024-07-09 04:44:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 09 Jul 2024 02:44:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 09 Jul 2024 03:21:24 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Beryl Forecast Discussion Number 42
2024-07-09 04:36:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 000 WTNT42 KNHC 090235 TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Beryl Discussion Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 Beryl continues to move farther inland, and the center is now near the border of Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Although the wind and storm surge hazards have largely subsided, there continues to be a significant threat of heavy rainfall and tornadoes along the forecast track for the next day or so. Visit weather.gov for details on these hazards. Beryl is expected to move swiftly northeastward while weakening, and it is forecast to become a remnant low on Tuesday. This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National Hurricane Center on Beryl. Future information on this system can be found in discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php Key Messages: 1. Local flash and urban flooding is expected across portions of northeast Texas, far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Minor to moderate river flooding is also possible. 2. Use caution after Beryl passes. Deadly hazards remain including downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Exercise caution when using chainsaws and power tools, and drink plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0300Z 32.8N 94.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 60H 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2024-07-09 04:35:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 090234 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics