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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 4
2025-06-13 16:36:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 012 WTPZ34 KNHC 131436 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 900 AM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...DISTURBANCE BECOMES TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 101.6W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula, and a Tropical Storm Watch north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 101.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, with a turn toward the west-northwest forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the disturbance is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days. The system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today and continue strengthening on Saturday as it moves parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Four-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are possible across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoac�n, and Colima through this weekend. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Four-E, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area on Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Depression Four-E will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Kelly [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2025-06-13 16:36:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 199 WTPZ24 KNHC 131436 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 1500 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 101.6W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 4 M SEAS.... 0NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 101.6W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 101.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.9N 102.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 104.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N 105.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 107.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.1N 109.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.2N 111.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.3N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 101.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E Graphics
2025-06-13 13:34:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 11:34:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Jun 2025 09:21:39 GMT [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics