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Tropical Depression Ivo Forecast Discussion Number 18
2025-08-11 04:31:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 110231 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Ivo Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Cool waters, dry air, and northeasterly vertical wind shear are taking a toll on Ivo. Deep convection has been steadily declining over the past several hours, and the system appears to be on its way to becoming a remnant low. The initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt, making Ivo a tropical depression. Since the environment is expected to become even more hostile, Ivo is forecast to continue weakening. It is now forecast to become a remnant low early Monday and dissipate entirely in a couple of days. Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest at about 9 kt. A westward to west-northwestward motion at about the same forward speed is expected within the low-level flow until the system dissipates. Little change was made to the previous track, and this one lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 22.3N 117.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 22.6N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/0000Z 22.8N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/1200Z 22.8N 123.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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