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Tropical Depression Nadine Forecast Discussion Number 6
2024-10-20 04:41:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 347 WTNT45 KNHC 200241 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Nadine Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Nadine has been moving farther inland over northern Guatemala, and there are no observations of tropical-storm-force winds. Therefore, the system was downgraded to a tropical depression at the intermediate advisory. Belize ground-based radar shows that Nadine has maintained a decent mid-level circulation and therefore, the initial intensity has been held at 30 kt for this advisory. Continued weakening is expected, and Nadine is forecast to dissipate over the rugged terrain of southern Mexico on Sunday. The depression is moving just south of west at 265/12 kt. A slightly quicker west-southwestward motion is expected on Sunday. Key Messages: 1. Localized areas of flash flooding are possible along the track of Nadine across southern Mexico, northern Guatemala, and northern Belize. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0300Z 17.2N 90.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/1200Z 16.7N 92.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2024-10-20 04:40:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 200239 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024 0300 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Depression Nadine (AT5/AL152024)
2024-10-20 04:39:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NADINE EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 the center of Nadine was located near 17.2, -90.6 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics