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Tropical Depression Nineteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2024-11-14 15:49:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 141449 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 1500 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 2(18) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) GUANAJA 34 X 14(14) 11(25) 9(34) 5(39) 2(41) X(41) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER KELLY


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Tropical Depression Nineteen Graphics

2024-11-14 12:49:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Nov 2024 11:49:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Nov 2024 09:22:46 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192024)

2024-11-14 12:48:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED IN HONDURAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As of 7:00 AM EST Thu Nov 14 the center of Nineteen was located near 15.9, -82.2 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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