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Tropical Depression Two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2024-06-28 22:33:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 282033 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 24(32) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 25(42) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 11(29) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 2(23) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 6(21) X(21) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 25(40) X(40) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 7(35) X(35) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 5(56) 1(57) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 4(27) 1(28) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 57(57) 8(65) X(65) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) X(33) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 1(62) X(62) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 1(31) X(31) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 8(50) X(50) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) X(26) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 2(38) 1(39) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) PORT OF SPAIN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) 1(20) JUANGRIEGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) JUANGRIEGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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