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Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 4
2024-06-29 16:46:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 192 WTNT22 KNHC 291445 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 1500 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 47.8W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 47.8W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 46.9W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.4N 50.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 10SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.1N 53.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.8N 57.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.6N 60.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N 64.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.9N 68.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N 81.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 47.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 29/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Beryl (AT2/AL022024)
2024-06-29 14:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BERYL STRENGTHENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... As of 8:00 AM AST Sat Jun 29 the center of Beryl was located near 9.8, -46.8 with movement W at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 3A
2024-06-29 14:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Sat Jun 29 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 291232 CCA TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 3A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 800 AM AST Sat Jun 29 2024 Corrected distance from Barbados ...BERYL STRENGTHENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.8N 46.8W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM ESE OF BARBADOS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Barbados Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of this area later this morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 46.8 West. Beryl is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A relatively quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or early Sunday with additional strengthening expected after that. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area by Sunday night or Monday morning, with tropical storm conditions possible on Sunday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands. This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics