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Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Advisory Number 7
2025-06-14 10:46:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 501 WTPZ24 KNHC 140845 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 103.9W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......220NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. 4 M SEAS....135NE 330SE 105SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 103.9W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.3W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...240NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 107.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 111.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 103.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/BEVEN [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Dalila Graphics
2025-06-14 07:50:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 14 Jun 2025 05:50:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 14 Jun 2025 03:22:08 GMT [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 6a
2025-06-14 07:49:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 AM CST Sat Jun 14 2025 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 140549 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 1200 AM CST Sat Jun 14 2025 ...DALILA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 103.2W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...72 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan De Galeana to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 103.2 West. Dalila is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are now near 45 mph (72 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoac�n, and Colima through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Beven [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics