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Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 13
2025-06-15 22:39:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 788 WTPZ44 KNHC 152038 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 Dalila's convection has collapsed, leaving behind a single fragmented band of thunderstorms. Subjective and objective satellite estimates have lowered this cycle and the initial intensity has been reduced to 40 kt based on a blend of the TAFB and SAB Dvorak estimates. Dalila is expected to continue weakening as the storm moves over cooler waters and into a hostile environment. The NHC intensity forecast predicts Dalila to become a post-tropical remnant low later today. The storm is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt and should continue gradually turning westward in the low-level flow. A more westward motion is expected in the next day or two until the system dissipates in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci [ more ]
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