je.st
news
Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 13
2025-06-15 22:39:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 788 WTPZ44 KNHC 152038 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 Dalila's convection has collapsed, leaving behind a single fragmented band of thunderstorms. Subjective and objective satellite estimates have lowered this cycle and the initial intensity has been reduced to 40 kt based on a blend of the TAFB and SAB Dvorak estimates. Dalila is expected to continue weakening as the storm moves over cooler waters and into a hostile environment. The NHC intensity forecast predicts Dalila to become a post-tropical remnant low later today. The storm is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt and should continue gradually turning westward in the low-level flow. A more westward motion is expected in the next day or two until the system dissipates in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Summary for Tropical Storm Dalila (EP4/EP042025)
2025-06-15 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DALILA EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... As of 21:00 UTC SUN JUN 15 2025 the center of Dalila was located near 18.2, -108.4 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph. [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 13
2025-06-15 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 165 WTPZ34 KNHC 152038 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 ...DALILA EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 108.4W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 108.4 West. Dalila is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn towards the west will occur later today, with a continued westward motion the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is forecast the during the next couple of days, and the system is expected to become a remnant low later tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics