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Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2025-06-15 22:39:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2025 703 FOPZ14 KNHC 152038 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 110W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 13
2025-06-15 22:39:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 788 WTPZ44 KNHC 152038 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 Dalila's convection has collapsed, leaving behind a single fragmented band of thunderstorms. Subjective and objective satellite estimates have lowered this cycle and the initial intensity has been reduced to 40 kt based on a blend of the TAFB and SAB Dvorak estimates. Dalila is expected to continue weakening as the storm moves over cooler waters and into a hostile environment. The NHC intensity forecast predicts Dalila to become a post-tropical remnant low later today. The storm is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt and should continue gradually turning westward in the low-level flow. A more westward motion is expected in the next day or two until the system dissipates in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Dalila (EP4/EP042025)
2025-06-15 22:38:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DALILA EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... As of 21:00 UTC SUN JUN 15 2025 the center of Dalila was located near 18.2, -108.4 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph. [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics