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Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2025-06-13 22:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 959 FOPZ14 KNHC 132031 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 2100 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 9 23(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 17(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 34 4 44(48) 8(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) L CARDENAS 34 74 7(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ZIHUATANEJO 34 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ACAPULCO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 18(27) 1(28) X(28) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Dalila (EP4/EP042025)
2025-06-13 22:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Fri Jun 13 the center of Dalila was located near 14.8, -102.4 with movement NNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph. [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 5
2025-06-13 22:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 925 WTPZ34 KNHC 132031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 300 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...DALILA BRINGING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 102.4W ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 102.4 West. Dalila is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, with a turn toward the west forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches, are possible across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoac�n, and Colima through this weekend. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics