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Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2025-06-14 04:55:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 216 FOPZ14 KNHC 140255 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 21 19(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 17(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MANZANILLO 34 15 31(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) L CARDENAS 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) ZIHUATANEJO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ACAPULCO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 16(20) 10(30) X(30) X(30) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/REINHART [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Dalila (EP4/EP042025)
2025-06-14 04:55:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA... As of 9:00 PM CST Fri Jun 13 the center of Dalila was located near 15.2, -103.0 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph. [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 6
2025-06-14 04:55:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 140254 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 900 PM CST Fri Jun 13 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 103.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan De Galeana to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 103.0 West. Dalila is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the west is forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Weakening should begin by Sunday. Dalila is a large storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Dalila can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoac�n, and Colima through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near the coast. This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Dalila, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area and are possible within the watch area tonight and Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Dalila will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Reinhart [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics