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Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2025-06-14 10:49:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 874 FOPZ14 KNHC 140848 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN BLAS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 105W 34 34 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 10 9(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MANZANILLO 34 43 7(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) L CARDENAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ZIHUATANEJO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 110W 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 18(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/BEVEN [ more ]


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Advisory Number 7

2025-06-14 10:46:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 501 WTPZ24 KNHC 140845 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0900 UTC SAT JUN 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 103.9W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......220NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. 4 M SEAS....135NE 330SE 105SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 103.9W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.3W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...240NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 107.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 111.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 103.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 14/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/BEVEN [ more ]


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Storm Dalila Graphics

2025-06-14 07:50:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 14 Jun 2025 05:50:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 14 Jun 2025 03:22:08 GMT [ more ]


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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