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Tropical Storm Erick Public Advisory Number 3a
2025-06-17 13:45:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM CST Tue Jun 17 2025 451 WTPZ35 KNHC 171144 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Erick Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052025 600 AM CST Tue Jun 17 2025 ...ERICK EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY WHILE APPROACHING THE COASTS OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.1N 93.8W ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bahias de Huatulco to Punta Maldonado A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Bahias de Huatulco to Salina Cruz A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A hurricane warning will likely be required for a portion of the coast later today. Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erick was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 93.8 West. Erick is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A slower west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to approach the coast of southern Mexico Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the system is expected to become a hurricane on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Erick can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Erick could produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with maximum totals of 15 inches, across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero and coastal sections of Guatemala. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with maximum totals of 6 inches are possible across interior portions of Southeast Mexico, El Salvador, interior Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Tabasco and Veracruz. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Erick, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area by Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area by late Wednesday. STORM SURGE: Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near where the center crosses the coast in areas of onshore winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Erick are expected to begin affecting the coast of southern Mexico in a day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Berg [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-17 13:38:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
416 ABPZ20 KNHC 171137TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Tue Jun 17 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Erick, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.&&Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Erick are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Erick are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.$$Forecaster Hagen [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-17 13:22:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
404 ABNT20 KNHC 171120TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Hagen [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics