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Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2024-10-11 04:32:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 110232 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0300 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 35
2024-10-11 04:31:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 110231 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0300 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 51.2W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 135SE 120SW 135NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 51.2W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 51.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.9N 50.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 49.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.5N 45.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 40.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.6N 34.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 37.1N 29.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 51.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-11 01:41:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 102341 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton, located off the east coast of central Florida. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94): Recent satellite wind data show that a broad low pressure area with winds of 30 to 35 mph has formed in association with a tropical wave located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, the system's shower and thunderstorm activity is currently poorly organized. Some additional development could occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic and the Cabo Verde Islands tonight and Friday. By Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable, and further development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, localized areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands tonight through Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics