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Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38

2023-10-02 22:55:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 02 2023 000 FONT12 KNHC 022055 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 2100 UTC MON OCT 02 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 9(21) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT JOHN 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 9 15(24) 3(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) SABA 34 4 7(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST EUSTATIUS 34 7 9(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 13 8(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) BARBUDA 34 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BARBUDA 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 34 72 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GUADELOUPE 34 11 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE


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