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Tropical Storm Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 9
2024-11-05 21:41:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE NOV 05 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 052040 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 2100 UTC TUE NOV 05 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 79.6W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 75SE 70SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 79.6W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 79.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 80.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 82.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.1N 83.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.0N 85.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.4N 86.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.8N 87.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.1N 90.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 28.8N 90.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 79.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-05 18:44:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051744 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rafael, located just west of Jamaica. Southwestern Atlantic: A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Portions of this system are forecast to move westward during the next day or so and could form a low pressure near the northern Leeward by Thursday. Afterward, some slow development of this system is possible during the latter part of the week while it moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-05 18:44:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Tue Nov 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Southwest of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so while it moves generally eastward at 5 to 10 mph. By the latter part of the week, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for any further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics