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Summary for Hurricane Lee (AT4/AL142017)

2017-09-26 22:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LEE STILL INTENSIFYING, FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 26 the center of Lee was located near 29.9, -54.6 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.

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Hurricane Lee Public Advisory Number 35

2017-09-26 22:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 26 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 262031 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 500 PM AST Tue Sep 26 2017 ...LEE STILL INTENSIFYING, FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.9N 54.6W ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1670 MI...2685 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 54.6 West. Lee is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). The hurricane is expected to turn northwestward on Wednesday and northward on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Lee could become a major hurricane tonight or tomorrow before weakening likely begins on Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35

2017-09-26 22:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 262031 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory Number 35

2017-09-26 22:30:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 262030 TCMAT4 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 54.6W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 54.6W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 54.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.0N 55.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 31.0N 56.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.4N 57.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 56.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 140SE 130SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 48.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 54.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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