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Tropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2015-05-09 22:35:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 092034 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 2100 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) RICHMOND VA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 18(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 18(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) RALEIGH NC 34 5 9(14) 8(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 3( 6) 5(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOREHEAD CITY 34 13 7(20) 6(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 53 10(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) WILMINGTON NC 50 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 6 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 7 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 26 4(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2015-05-09 16:37:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 091437 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 1500 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 10(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 10(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 8( 9) 6(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) RALEIGH NC 34 3 11(14) 12(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 6( 8) 4(12) 5(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 13 10(23) 4(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 48 15(63) 3(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) WILMINGTON NC 50 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 9(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MYRTLE BEACH 34 65 12(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) MYRTLE BEACH 50 2 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 18 11(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2015-05-09 10:43:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 090843 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 0900 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) RALEIGH NC 34 2 5( 7) 8(15) 7(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) MOREHEAD CITY 34 9 9(18) 4(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 28 18(46) 8(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) WILMINGTON NC 50 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 34 37 21(58) 5(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CHARLESTON SC 34 11 11(22) 4(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Subtropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2015-05-09 04:32:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 090232 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 0300 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 16(22) X(22) X(22) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 15(22) X(22) X(22) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) RALEIGH NC 34 2 6( 8) 4(12) 6(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 11(23) X(23) X(23) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 11 10(21) 3(24) 4(28) 7(35) X(35) X(35) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 24 18(42) 7(49) 4(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) WILMINGTON NC 50 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 7(10) 4(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) MYRTLE BEACH 34 33 21(54) 8(62) 2(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 14 15(29) 5(34) 3(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) MAYPORT NS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Subtropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2015-05-08 22:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 082051 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 2100 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 9(13) 4(17) X(17) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 9(13) 4(17) X(17) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) RALEIGH NC 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 8(21) 1(22) X(22) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 9(19) 5(24) 3(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 18 14(32) 7(39) 4(43) 5(48) 1(49) X(49) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 4 6(10) 4(14) 3(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) MYRTLE BEACH 34 26 18(44) 10(54) 4(58) 2(60) 1(61) X(61) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 17 15(32) 7(39) 3(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) SAVANNAH GA 34 5 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MAYPORT NS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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