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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-17 13:34:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171133 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional gradual development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward toward the western Gulf coast. Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over portions of the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on those warnings is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coasts should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeast United States on Thursday or Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-17 07:01:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 170501 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disturbed weather is located over Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form from this system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today or tonight. Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent gradual development of the low, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or west- northwestward toward the western Gulf coast. Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over portions of the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on those warnings is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coasts should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: A trough or an area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas in a day or two. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves westward or west- northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeast United States on Thursday or Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Brown
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-17 07:00:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore Central America (EP90): An area of low pressure located near the Pacific coast of southeastern Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coast of Central America, southeastern Mexico, and the adjacent Pacific waters. This system is expected to move inland overnight and the chance of significant development is decreasing. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions of southern Mexico and Central America during the next several days. These rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Category: Transportation and Logistics