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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-06-22 23:01:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 222101 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook to update the discussion of the low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico (AL93). Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93): Updated: Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft show that the broad low pressure area over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions appear to have become a little more marginal for development of this system as it moves slowly northwestward, but a tropical depression could still form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely to cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Near the Georgia Coast (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system centered just inland over southeastern Georgia have decreased during the past several hours. The low is expected to drift slowly north-northeastward near the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina through tonight before dissipating by Sunday. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-06-22 19:48:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93): A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to have become a little more marginal for development of this system as it moves slowly northwestward, but a tropical depression could still form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely to cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Near the Georgia Coast (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system centered just inland over southeastern Georgia have decreased during the past several hours. The low is expected to drift slowly north-northeastward near the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina through tonight before dissipating by Sunday. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Berg


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-06-22 19:07:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221707 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Berg


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