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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-19 07:45:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 190545 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon): An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the central tropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of Gordon. This system is forecast to interact with another area of low pressure to its west while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days. While environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for additional development by the end of this week, a tropical depression or storm could still re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased tonight with a well-defined area of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the northwest of the remnants of Gordon. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some additional development of this system is possible as it meanders over the open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through the middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-19 01:26:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182326 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-19 01:26:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 182325 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon): An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the central tropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of Gordon. This system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven


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