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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-22 13:51:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221151 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96): Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not become better organized since yesterday. Although the low remains embedded in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical depression cannot be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are associated with a very broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is expected to move westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-22 13:41:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP94): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located less than 200 miles south of the coast of southern Mexico have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while the system drifts slowly northeastward toward the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Central Portion of the East Pacific: An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle part of the week while the system moves slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-22 07:15:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 220515 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96): An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda continues to produce showers and thunderstorms north of its center. Although environmental conditions are not very favorable for development, a short-lived tropical depression can not be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is likely to form during the next few days over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa over the next few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics