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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-11 00:12:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 102312 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael, located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure will likely form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Some slow development is possible after that time while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-11 00:01:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102301 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Sun Nov 10 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael Forecast Discussion Number 30
2024-11-10 21:32:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 000 WTNT43 KNHC 102032 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024 300 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 The limited convection that Rafael was producing in its eastern semicircle has collapsed. Surface observations, visible satellite images, and a 1530z ASCAT-C pass show the surface circulation has become poorly defined and very elongated in the north-south direction. Since Rafael does not possess a well-defined center or organized convection, it no longer meets the definition of a tropical cyclone. This will be the final NHC advisory on Rafael. The remnant low is expected to drift eastward over the central Gulf of Mexico tonight, then turn toward the south and southwest on Monday and Tuesday. The forecast calls for dissipation by Tuesday night, but this could occur even sooner if current trends continue. The elevated rip current risk along the northern and western Gulf Coast will likely continue into Monday. For more information, see products from your local NWS forecast office. Additional information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Key Messages: 1. Swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the Gulf Coast through Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 26.1N 91.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/0600Z 25.8N 90.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1800Z 25.1N 90.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0600Z 24.1N 91.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1800Z 23.2N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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