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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-18 13:53:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181153 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well offshore of southwestern Mexico. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of next week as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-18 13:53:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 181152 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: North of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (AL94): A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend. Further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95): Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-18 07:04:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 180504 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Near the Leeward Islands (AL94): A poorly-defined trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the northern Leeward Islands northward for a couple hundred miles over the adjacent Atlantic waters. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, passing near or just north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. By late this weekend, further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95): Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next day or two, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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