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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-01 12:37:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Nov 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Central East Pacific (EP92): Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has continued to persist this morning. Some further development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while the low moves slowly westward. By late this weekend, however, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Afterward, some slow development is possible while the system drifts slowly eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Hogsett
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-01 12:36:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 011136 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. North Atlantic: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 400 miles west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity. Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-01 06:41:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 010541 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles: Surface observations and satellite-derived winds indicate that a trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2 to 3 days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. North Atlantic: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 450 miles west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity. Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Roberts
Category: Transportation and Logistics