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Hurricane ARTHUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2014-07-04 10:53:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 040853 PWSAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 15(41) X(41) X(41) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 43(49) 10(59) X(59) X(59) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 38(38) 24(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 18(18) 37(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) HALIFAX NS 34 X 4( 4) 77(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 33(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 31(31) 64(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 3( 3) 70(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MONCTON NB 34 X 2( 2) 72(74) 4(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) 39(39) 7(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ST JOHN NB 34 X 4( 4) 74(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 43(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EASTPORT ME 34 X 7( 7) 57(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 12(12) 26(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CONCORD NH 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BOSTON MA 34 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HYANNIS MA 34 2 62(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) HYANNIS MA 50 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) HYANNIS MA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 84(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 50(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) NANTUCKET MA 64 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PROVIDENCE RI 34 2 14(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HARTFORD CT 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 2 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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