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Hurricane Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2018-06-12 10:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 12 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 120837 PWSEP3 HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0900 UTC TUE JUN 12 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 17(25) 32(57) 2(59) X(59) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) X(19) X(19) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 14(21) 33(54) 2(56) X(56) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) X(18) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 22(30) 8(38) 1(39) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) 1(18) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 1(17) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 3(13) X(13) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 6(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) SAN BLAS 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 110W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 2 45(47) 30(77) 8(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 20N 110W 50 X 5( 5) 19(24) 13(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 11(13) 14(27) 4(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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