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Hurricane Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-06-11 16:39:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 11 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 111439 PWSEP3 HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC MON JUN 11 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 11(16) 10(26) 2(28) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 9(24) 3(27) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 2(14) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 7(14) 10(24) 1(25) X(25) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) SAN BLAS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 5(14) 1(15) X(15) P VALLARTA 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 105W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) MANZANILLO 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 110W 34 2 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 110W 34 2 4( 6) 11(17) 20(37) 20(57) 3(60) X(60) 20N 110W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 12(16) 2(18) X(18) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) 10(23) 10(33) 1(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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