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Hurricane DOLORES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2015-07-14 10:38:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 140838 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 11(20) 2(22) X(22) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 9(17) 2(19) X(19) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 22(26) 35(61) 17(78) 8(86) X(86) X(86) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 3( 3) 19(22) 21(43) 10(53) 1(54) X(54) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24) 7(31) X(31) X(31) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 22(29) 7(36) 1(37) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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