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Hurricane DOLORES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2015-07-15 04:34:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 15 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 150233 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 0300 UTC WED JUL 15 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 5(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 2( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 75 20(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) ISLA SOCORRO 50 14 55(69) 6(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) ISLA SOCORRO 64 3 38(41) 6(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) ISLA CLARION 34 2 2( 4) 8(12) 14(26) 11(37) 2(39) X(39) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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