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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 54
2019-09-06 23:04:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 062104 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 54 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 30(30) 12(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 52(52) 20(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 80(80) 11(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 23(23) 30(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 6( 6) 86(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 39(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X 5( 5) 84(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 38(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 25(25) 34(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X 63(63) 37(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HALIFAX NS 50 X 3( 3) 87(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 94(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 66(66) 7(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) YARMOUTH NS 64 X 23(23) 10(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MONCTON NB 34 X 8( 8) 62(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST JOHN NB 34 X 23(23) 37(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) ST JOHN NB 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X 19(19) 16(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) AUGUSTA ME 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORTLAND ME 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 32 19(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) HYANNIS MA 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 61 13(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) NANTUCKET MA 50 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 13 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ISLIP NY 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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