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Hurricane Erick Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2019-07-30 04:40:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 300240 PWSEP1 HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 0300 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X 42(42) 37(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 15N 145W 50 X 8( 8) 29(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 15N 145W 64 X 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 32(84) X(84) X(84) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 36(55) X(55) X(55) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) X(29) X(29) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 4(42) X(42) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 22(38) 1(39) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 1(26) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 6(30) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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