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Hurricane FERNANDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2017-07-15 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 152034 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 46(48) 8(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 69(80) 3(83) X(83) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 2(47) X(47) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 1(25) X(25) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 7(22) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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