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Hurricane Felicia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-07-15 10:52:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 15 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 150852 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FELICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 0900 UTC THU JUL 15 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 36 62(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 15N 120W 50 4 80(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 120W 64 X 53(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 15N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 42(51) 32(83) 1(84) X(84) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 35(47) 1(48) X(48) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) X(27) X(27) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 50(62) 4(66) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 4(31) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 36(42) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN
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