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Hurricane Fernanda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2017-07-15 10:34:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 150834 PWSEP1 HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062017 0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 2 25(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 43(47) 6(53) X(53) X(53) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 72(75) 9(84) X(84) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 11(55) X(55) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 7(34) X(34) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 10(30) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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