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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 49
2018-09-11 16:44:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 008 FONT11 KNHC 111443 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 1(17) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 2(18) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 2(21) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 3(25) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 2(23) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 12(28) 3(31) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 16(30) 4(34) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 14(31) 4(35) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20(33) 5(38) CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 22(47) 4(51) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 27(53) 5(58) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 1(17) DANVILLE VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 23(56) 4(60) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 31(35) 22(57) 4(61) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 2(19) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 21(58) 4(62) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 3(20) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) 19(71) 3(74) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 13(29) 3(32) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 26(51) 4(55) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 41(45) 26(71) 4(75) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 1(32) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 51(56) 24(80) 3(83) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 19(42) 2(44) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 47(51) 37(88) 4(92) 1(93) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 41(47) 8(55) 2(57) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 7(27) 2(29) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 53(58) 20(78) 3(81) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 19(41) 1(42) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 1(19) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 19(37) 4(41) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 63(85) 8(93) 2(95) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) 16(70) 2(72) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 12(43) 2(45) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 58(62) 34(96) 3(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 60(73) 8(81) 2(83) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 44(47) 10(57) 1(58) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 53(57) 39(96) 2(98) 1(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 63(74) 9(83) 1(84) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 45(47) 13(60) 1(61) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 62(85) 7(92) 1(93) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 55(58) 14(72) 2(74) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 14(47) 2(49) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 63(81) 8(89) 1(90) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 51(53) 14(67) 1(68) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 13(40) 2(42) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 42(44) 46(90) 3(93) X(93) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 54(61) 9(70) 1(71) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 11(47) 2(49) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 18(59) 4(63) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 2(23) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 15(33) 3(36) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 56(67) 12(79) 1(80) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 12(44) 3(47) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 10(23) 2(25) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 50(72) 8(80) 1(81) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 10(43) 2(45) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 8(22) 2(24) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 42(48) 12(60) 3(63) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 10(23) 2(25) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 14(40) 3(43) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 3(28) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 3(21) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 4(20) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Category:Transportation and Logistics