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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 57
2018-09-13 16:39:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 247 FONT11 KNHC 131439 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 57 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11) PAX RIVER NAS 34 2 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 6( 8) 7(15) 2(17) 1(18) 1(19) 1(20) RICHMOND VA 34 3 13(16) 8(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28) DANVILLE VA 34 3 28(31) 16(47) 4(51) 2(53) X(53) 1(54) DANVILLE VA 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 18(23) 8(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) NORFOLK VA 34 6 19(25) 8(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) OCEANA NAS VA 34 7 19(26) 8(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) 1(37) ELIZABETH CTY 34 34 20(54) 6(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) 1(63) ELIZABETH CTY 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 30(33) 19(52) 5(57) 2(59) 1(60) X(60) GREENSBORO NC 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 7 54(61) 14(75) 2(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79) RALEIGH NC 50 1 9(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) RALEIGH NC 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ROCKY MT NC 34 33 42(75) 6(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) ROCKY MT NC 50 2 13(15) 5(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ROCKY MT NC 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 91 1(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) CAPE HATTERAS 50 30 4(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) CAPE HATTERAS 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 28 61(89) 8(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) FAYETTEVILLE 50 2 44(46) 20(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 14(14) 14(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 24(26) 22(48) 7(55) 6(61) X(61) 1(62) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 67 22(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) CHERRY PT NC 64 19 27(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW RIVER NC 64 63 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 91 6(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MOREHEAD CITY 64 63 18(81) 1(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) SURF CITY NC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 68 30(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 64 23 65(88) 3(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) WILMINGTON NC 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 43 54(97) 1(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 64 7 75(82) 6(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) BALD HEAD ISL 34 91 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 56 41(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BALD HEAD ISL 64 9 71(80) 5(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) FLORENCE SC 34 5 61(66) 24(90) 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) FLORENCE SC 50 1 17(18) 32(50) 9(59) 4(63) X(63) X(63) FLORENCE SC 64 X 3( 3) 16(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 21(24) 30(54) 11(65) 6(71) 1(72) X(72) COLUMBIA SC 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 61 36(97) 2(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 3 74(77) 13(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) LITTLE RIVER 64 X 39(39) 24(63) 3(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) MYRTLE BEACH 34 58 37(95) 3(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 4 60(64) 17(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 20(21) 29(50) 4(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) GEORGETOWN SC 34 7 63(70) 19(89) 2(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 20(21) 30(51) 6(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 3( 3) 14(17) 4(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) CHARLESTON SC 34 3 30(33) 28(61) 9(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) 5(25) 1(26) X(26) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 10(12) 21(33) 9(42) 5(47) X(47) X(47) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 6( 8) 16(24) 9(33) 8(41) 1(42) X(42) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 5( 7) 11(18) 7(25) 5(30) 1(31) X(31) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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