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Hurricane Francine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2024-09-11 10:54:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 110854 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOBILE AL 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 1 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) STENNIS MS 34 1 29(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) STENNIS MS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 2 19(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JACKSON MS 34 1 4( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 65(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HOUMA LA 34 11 74(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) HOUMA LA 50 X 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) HOUMA LA 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 34 82 4(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) GFMX 280N 910W 50 12 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 280N 910W 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BATON ROUGE LA 34 3 77(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 22 74(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) MORGAN CITY LA 50 2 45(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) MORGAN CITY LA 64 1 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAFAYETTE LA 34 8 60(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW IBERIA LA 34 19 64(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) NEW IBERIA LA 50 1 26(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 50 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 64 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) LAKE CHARLES 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAMERON LA 34 25 9(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) CAMERON LA 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Hurricane Francine Forecast Advisory Number 11
2024-09-11 10:54:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 110854 TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 93.8W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 93.8W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 92.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.6N 90.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.0N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.7N 90.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 35.3N 90.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 93.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 11/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-11 07:51:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
099 ABPZ20 KNHC 110544 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A broad low pressure system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the coast of southwestern Mexico extending offshore for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while it moves generally north-northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico and towards the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics