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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2014-10-16 04:58:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 160258 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 53(53) 1(54) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 43(56) X(56) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 15(37) X(37) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) X(46) X(46) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 45(46) 48(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 62(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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