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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2014-10-16 10:31:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 160831 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 43(53) X(53) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 9(51) X(51) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) X(19) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) X(23) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X 5( 5) 88(93) 5(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 62(62) 23(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 34(34) 25(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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