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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-10-13 22:37:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 132037 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 35(63) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 24(32) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PONCE 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN JUAN 34 5 8(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAINT THOMAS 34 49 6(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) SAINT THOMAS 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 19 3(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT MAARTEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 64 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUADELOUPE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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