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Hurricane GUILLERMO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2015-07-31 22:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2015 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 312033 PWSEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092015 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 37(53) 12(65) X(65) X(65) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 3(15) 1(16) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 4(22) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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