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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2018-08-05 10:50:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 05 2018 850 FOPZ15 KNHC 050850 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0900 UTC SUN AUG 05 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 140W 34 1 97(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 140W 50 X 83(83) 10(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 15N 140W 64 X 54(54) 20(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 58(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 2(50) X(50) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) X(19) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 60(60) 18(78) X(78) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 21(47) X(47) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 16(28) X(28) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27) 1(28) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 31(37) 1(38) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 61(64) 3(67) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 3(37) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 44(47) 3(50) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 2(21) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 3(35) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) 21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 21N 158W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BARKING SANDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 3(19) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 4(20) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 52(53) 15(68) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 12(35) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LIHUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 36(47) BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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