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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2018-08-06 04:32:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 06 2018 602 FOPZ15 KNHC 060232 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0300 UTC MON AUG 06 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 140W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 140W 64 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 15N 145W 34 X 61(61) 23(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 145W 50 X 10(10) 26(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) 15N 145W 64 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 47(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 63(84) X(84) X(84) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) X(52) X(52) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) X(29) X(29) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) X(18) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 2(42) X(42) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 67(68) 5(73) X(73) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 6(41) X(41) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) X(21) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 4(49) X(49) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 4(27) X(27) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 30(81) 1(82) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 36(51) X(51) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) X(27) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 1(38) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 1(25) 20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 2(43) BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 22(34) 15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 19(29) 20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 20N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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